Development and characterization of a hemolysis inhibition assay to determine functionality of anti-Streptolysin O antibodies in human sera.

The high burden of disease and the long-lasting sequelae following Streptococcus pyogenes (Strep A) infections make the development of an effective vaccine a global health priority. Streptolysin O (SLO), is a key toxin in the complex pathogenesis of Strep A infection. Antibodies are elicited against SLO after natural exposure and represent a key target for vaccine-induced immunity. Here we present the setup and characterization of a hemolysis assay to measure functionality of anti-SLO antibodies in human sera. Assay specificity, precision, linearity, reproducibility, and repeatability were determined. The assay was demonstrated to be highly sensitive, specific, reproducible, linear and performed well in assessing functionality of anti-SLO antibodies induced by exposed individuals. Moreover, different sources of critical reagents, in particular red- blood cells, have been compared and had minimal impact on assay performance. The assay presented here has throughput suitable for evaluating sera in vaccine clinical trials and sero-epidemiological studies to gain further insights into the functionality of infection- and vaccine-induced antibodies.

Naturally acquired functional antibody responses to group A Streptococcus differ between major strain types.

Group A Streptococcus (GAS) is a leading human pathogen for which there is no licensed vaccine. Infections are most common in young children and the elderly suggesting immunity accumulates with exposure until immune senescence in older age. Though protection has been postulated to be strain type specific, based on the M-protein (emm-type), the antigenic basis of population-level immunity remains poorly understood. Naturally acquired GAS antibody responses were investigated using intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG), which contains pooled immunoglobulins from thousands of healthy human donors, as a surrogate for population immunity. Functional opsonophagocytic killing assays were conducted with GAS strains (n = 6) representing the three major emm-pattern types (emm12, A-C pattern; emm53, D-pattern; and emm75, E-pattern). While IVIG induced opsonophagocytic killing of all GAS strains tested, specificity assays showed the profile of protective antibodies differed considerably between emm-types. Antibodies targeting the M-protein were a major component of the functional IVIG antibody response for emm12 and emm53 strains but not for emm75 strains. The striking differences in the contribution of M-protein specific antibodies to killing suggest naturally acquired immunity differs between strains from the major emm-patterns. This challenges the dogma that M-protein is the primary protective antigen across all GAS straintypes. IMPORTANCE Group A Streptococcus (GAS) is a globally important pathogen. With the surge of invasive GAS infections that have occurred in multiple countries, contemporaneous with the relaxation of COVID-19 pandemic restrictions, there is increased interest in the mechanisms underpinning GAS immunity. We utilized intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG), pooled immunoglobulins from thousands of healthy donors, as a surrogate for population-level immunity to GAS, and explored the contribution of strain-specific (M-type specific) antibodies to GAS immunity using functional killing assays. This revealed striking differences between major strain types as to the contribution of strain specific antibodies to killing. For GAS strains belonging to the E pattern group, M-type specific antibodies do not mediate killing and immunity, which contrasts with strains belonging to pattern A-C and D groups. This challenges the historical dogma, originally proposed by Rebecca Lancefield in the 1950-1960s, that the M-protein is the major protective antigen across all GAS strain types.

Robust immunogenicity of a third BNT162b2 vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in a naïve New Zealand cohort.

The ability of a third dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech BNT162b2 SARS-CoV-2 vaccine to stimulate immune responses against subvariants, including Omicron BA.1, has not been assessed in New Zealand populations. Unlike many overseas populations, New Zealanders were largely infection naïve at the time they were boosted. This adult cohort of 298 participants, oversampled for at-risk populations, was composed of 29% Maori and 28% Pacific peoples, with 40% of the population aged 55+. A significant proportion of the cohort was obese and presented with at least one comorbidity. Sera were collected 28 days and 6 months post second vaccination and 28 days post third vaccination. SARS-CoV-2 anti-S IgG titres and neutralising capacity using surrogate viral neutralisation assays against variants of concern, including Omicron BA.1, were investigated. The incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection, within our cohort, prior to third vaccination was very low (<6%). This study found a third vaccine significantly increased the mean SARS-CoV-2 anti-S IgG titres, for every demographic subgroup, by a minimum of 1.5-fold compared to titres after two doses. Diabetic participants experienced a greater increase (∼4-fold) in antibody titres after their third vaccination, compared to non-diabetics (increase of âˆ¼ 2-fold). This corrected for the deficiency in antibody titres within diabetic participants which was observed following two doses. A third dose also induced a neutralising response against Omicron variant BA.1, which was absent after two doses. This neutralising response improved regardless of age, BMI, ethnicity, or diabetes status. Participants aged ≥75 years consistently had the lowest SARS-CoV-2 anti-S IgG titres at each timepoint, however experienced the greatest improvement after three doses compared to younger participants. This study shows that in the absence of prior SARS-CoV-2 infection, a third Pfizer-BioNTech BNT162b2 vaccine enhances immunogenicity, including against Omicron BA.1, in a cohort representative of at-risk groups in the adult New Zealand population.

Identification of an immunodominant region on a group A Streptococcus T-antigen reveals temperature-dependent motion in pili.

Group A Streptococcus (GAS) is a globally important pathogen causing a broad range of human diseases. GAS pili are elongated proteins with a backbone comprised repeating T-antigen subunits, which extend from the cell surface and have important roles in adhesion and establishing infection. No GAS vaccines are currently available, but T-antigen-based candidates are in pre-clinical development. This study investigated antibody-T-antigen interactions to gain molecular insight into functional antibody responses to GAS pili. Large, chimeric mouse/human Fab-phage libraries generated from mice vaccinated with the complete T18.1 pilus were screened against recombinant T18.1, a representative two-domain T-antigen. Of the two Fab identified for further characterization, one (designated E3) was cross-reactive and also recognized T3.2 and T13, while the other (H3) was type-specific reacting with only T18.1/T18.2 within a T-antigen panel representative of the major GAS T-types. The epitopes for the two Fab, determined by x-ray crystallography and peptide tiling, overlapped and mapped to the N-terminal region of the T18.1 N-domain. This region is predicted to be buried in the polymerized pilus by the C-domain of the next T-antigen subunit. However, flow cytometry and opsonophagocytic assays showed that these epitopes were accessible in the polymerized pilus at 37°C, though not at lower temperature. This suggests that there is motion within the pilus at physiological temperature, with structural analysis of a covalently linked T18.1 dimer indicating "knee-joint" like bending occurs between T-antigen subunits to expose this immunodominant region. This temperature dependent, mechanistic flexing provides new insight into how antibodies interact with T-antigens during infection.

Human antibody profiling technologies for autoimmune disease.

Autoimmune diseases are caused by the break-down in self-tolerance mechanisms and can result in the generation of autoantibodies specific to human antigens. Human autoantigen profiling technologies such as solid surface arrays and display technologies are powerful high-throughput technologies utilised to discover and map novel autoantigens associated with disease. This review compares human autoantigen profiling technologies including the application of these approaches in chronic and post-infectious autoimmune disease. Each technology has advantages and limitations that should be considered when designing new projects to profile autoantibodies. Recent studies that have utilised these technologies across a range of diseases have highlighted marked heterogeneity in autoantibody specificity between individuals as a frequent feature. This individual heterogeneity suggests that epitope spreading maybe an important mechanism in the pathogenesis of autoimmune disease in general and likely contributes to inflammatory tissue damage and symptoms. Studies focused on identifying autoantibody biomarkers for diagnosis should use targeted data analysis to identify the rarer public epitopes and antigens, common between individuals. Thus, utilisation of human autoantigen profiling technology, combined with different analysis approaches, can illuminate both pathogenesis and biomarker discovery.

Risk factors for acute rheumatic fever: A case-control study.

Background: Acute rheumatic fever (ARF) and rheumatic heart disease (RHD) remain an inequitable cause of avoidable suffering and early death in many countries, including among Indigenous Maori and Pacific populations in New Zealand. There is a lack of robust evidence on interventions to prevent ARF. This study aimed to identify modifiable risk factors, with the goal of producing evidence to support policies and programs to decrease rates of ARF. Methods: A case-control study was undertaken in New Zealand using hospitalised, first episode ARF cases meeting a standard case-definition. Population controls (ratio of 3:1) were matched by age, ethnicity, socioeconomic deprivation, location, sex, and recruitment month. A comprehensive, pre-tested questionnaire was administered face-to-face by trained interviewers. Findings: The study included 124 cases and 372 controls. Multivariable analysis identified strong associations between ARF and household crowding (OR 3·88; 95%CI 1·68-8·98) and barriers to accessing primary health care (OR 2·07; 95% CI 1·08-4·00), as well as a high intake of sugar-sweetened beverages (OR 2·00; 1·13-3·54). There was a marked five-fold higher ARF risk for those with a family history of ARF (OR 4·97; 95% CI 2·53-9·77). ARF risk was elevated following self-reported skin infection (aOR 2·53; 1·44-4·42) and sore throat (aOR 2·33; 1·49-3·62). Interpretation: These globally relevant findings direct attention to the critical importance of household crowding and access to primary health care as strong modifiable causal factors in the development of ARF. They also support a greater focus on the role of managing skin infections in ARF prevention. Funding: This research was funded by the Health Research Council of New Zealand (HRC) Rheumatic Fever Research Partnership (supported by the New Zealand Ministry of Health, Te Puni Kokiri, Cure Kids, Heart Foundation, and HRC) award number 13/959.

Cytokine imbalance in acute rheumatic fever and rheumatic heart disease: Mechanisms and therapeutic implications.

Acute Rheumatic Fever (ARF) and Rheumatic Heart Disease (RHD) are autoimmune sequelae of Group A Streptococcus infection with significant global disease burden. The pathogenesis of these diseases is poorly understood, and no immune modulating therapies are available to stop progression from ARF to RHD. Cytokines and chemokines are immune signaling molecules critical to the development of autoimmune diseases. An increasing number of studies point to a central role for pro-inflammatory cytokines and chemokines in ARF and RHD pathogenesis, in particular IL-6, IL-8/CXCL8, and TNFα, which are elevated in circulation in both ARF and RHD patients. Histological studies of RHD valve tissue implicates Th1 and Th17 associated pro-inflammatory cytokines, chemokine CXCL9, and the fibrosis-associated cytokine TGF-ß in progressive cycles of inflammatory damage and fibrotic repair. Taken together, this suggests immune molecules contribute to both the acute inflammatory disease stage of ARF, as well as cardiac remodeling and valve dysfunction in RHD. Monoclonal antibody blockade of pro-inflammatory cytokines IL-6 and TNFα are approved therapies for many autoimmune diseases and the most successful immunomodulating therapies for rheumatoid arthritis. Current evidence suggests possible benefit for ARF patients from IL-6 and TNFα blockade, in particular to interrupt progression to RHD, and warrants immediate investigation.

The effects of sugar in drinking water on Streptococcus pyogenes colonisation in a murine nasopharyngeal infection model.

The number of sugar-sweetened beverages consumed per day has been associated with an increased risk of acute rheumatic fever, an autoimmune disease triggered by superficial Streptococcus pyogenes infection. To explore if there could be a biological basis for this association, we used a mouse model of S. pyogenes nasopharyngeal colonisation combined with a dietary intervention. We observed an increased bacterial load in the nasopharynx of mice receiving sucrose drinking water post-infection, suggesting that high sucrose intake promotes S. pyogenes growth and/or survival. This provides new insight into the potential biological basis behind the association seen in humans.

The effect of needle length and skin to deltoid muscle distance in adults receiving an mRNA COVID-19 vaccine.

BACKGROUND: The mRNA COVID vaccines are only licensed for intramuscular injection but it is unclear whether successful intramuscular administration is required for immunogenicity. METHODS: In this observational study, eligible adults receiving their first ComirnatyTM/BNT162b2 dose had their skin to deltoid muscle distance (SDMD) measured by ultrasound. The relationship between SDMD and height, weight, body mass index, and arm circumference was assessed. Three needle length groups were identified: 'clearly sufficient' (needle exceeding SDMD by >5 mm), 'probably sufficient' (needle exceeding SDMD by ≤ 5 mm), and 'insufficient' (needle length ≤ SDMD). Baseline and follow-up finger prick blood samples were collected and the primary outcome variable was mean spike antibody levels in the three needle length groups. RESULTS: Participants (n = 402) had a mean age of 34.7 years, BMI 29.1 kg/m2, arm circumference 37.5 cm, and SDMD 13.3 mm. The SDMD was >25 mm in 23/402 (5.7%) and >20 mm in 61/402 (15.2%) participants. Both arm circumference (≥40 cm) and BMI (≥33 kg/m2) were able to identify those with a SDMD of >25 mm, the length of a standard injection needle, with a sensitivity of 100% and specificities of 71.2 and 79.9%, respectively. Of 249/402 (62%) participants with paired blood samples, there was no significant difference in spike antibody titres between needle length groups. The mean (SD) spike BAU/mL was 464.5 (677.1) in 'clearly sufficient needle length' (n = 217) compared with 506.4 (265.1) in 'probably sufficient' (n = 21, p = 0.09), and 489.4 (452.3) in 'insufficient needle length' (n = 11, p = 0.65). CONCLUSIONS: A 25 mm needle length is likely to be inadequate to ensure vaccine deposition within the deltoid muscle in a small proportion of adults. Vaccine-induced spike antibody titres were comparable in those vaccinated with a needle of sufficient versus insufficient length suggesting deltoid muscle deposition may not be required for an adequate antibody response to mRNA vaccines.

Risk factors for group A streptococcal pharyngitis and skin infections: A case control study.

Background: Group A streptococcal (GAS) infections can trigger an immune-mediated response resulting in acute rheumatic fever (ARF). The role of social and environmental risk factors for GAS pharyngitis and skin infections are not well understood. This study aimed to identify factors associated with GAS pharyngitis and skin infections, and to determine if these are the same as those for ARF. Methods: A case-control study, including 733 children aged 5-14 years, was undertaken between March 2018 and October 2019 in Auckland, New Zealand. Healthy controls (n = 190) and symptomatic cases including GAS pharyngitis (n = 210), GAS seronegative carriers (n = 182), and GAS skin infections (n = 151) were recruited. Trained interviewers administered a comprehensive, pre-tested, face-to-face questionnaire. Findings: Multivariable analysis identified strong associations between barriers to accessing primary healthcare and having GAS pharyngitis (adjusted OR 3·3; 95% CI 1·8-6·0), GAS carriage (aOR 2·9; 95% CI 1·5-6·0) or a GAS skin infection (aOR 3·5; 95% CI 1·6-7·6). Children who had GAS skin infections were more likely than all other groups to report living in a crowded home (aOR 1·9; 95% CI 1·0-3·4), have Maori or Pacific grandparents (aOR 3·0; 95% CI 1·2-7·6), a family history of ARF (aOR 2·2; 95% CI 1·1-4·3), or having a previous diagnosis of eczema (aOR 3·9; 95% CI 2·2-6·9). Interpretation: Reducing barriers to accessing primary healthcare (including financial restrictions, the inability to book an appointment, lack of transport, and lack of childcare for other children) to treat GAS pharyngitis and skin infections could potentially reduce these infections and lead to a reduction in their sequelae, including ARF. These strategies should be co-designed and culturally appropriate for the communities being served and carefully evaluated. Funding: This work was supported by the Health Research Council of New Zealand (HRC), award number 16/005.

Immunogenicity of BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccine in New Zealand adults.

BACKGROUND: There is very little known about SARS-CoV-2 vaccine immune responses in New Zealand populations at greatest risk for serious COVID-19 disease. METHODS: This prospective cohort study assessed immunogenicity in BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine recipients in New Zealand without previous COVID-19, with enrichment for Maori, Pacific peoples, older adults ≥ 65 years of age, and those with co-morbidities. Serum samples were analysed at baseline and 28 days after second dose for presence of quantitative anti-S IgG by chemiluminescent microparticle immunoassay and for neutralizing capacity against Wuhan, Beta, Delta, and Omicron BA.1 strains using a surrogate viral neutralisation assay. RESULTS: 285 adults with median age of 52 years were included. 55% were female, 30% were Maori, 28% were Pacific peoples, and 26% were ≥ 65 years of age. Obesity, cardiac and pulmonary disease and diabetes were more common than in the general population. All participants received 2 doses of BNT162b2 vaccine. At 28 days after second vaccination, 99.6% seroconverted to the vaccine, and anti-S IgG and neutralising antibody levels were high across gender and ethnic groups. IgG and neutralising responses declined with age. Lower responses were associated with age ≥ 75 and diabetes, but not BMI. The ability to neutralise the Omicron BA.1 variant in vitro was severely diminished but maintained against other variants of concern. CONCLUSIONS: Vaccine antibody responses to BNT162b2 were generally robust and consistent with international data in this COVID-19 naïve cohort with representation of key populations at risk for COVID-19 morbidity. Subsequent data on response to boosters, durability of responses and cellular immune responses should be assessed with attention to elderly adults and diabetics.

Estimating decay curves of neutralizing antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Estimating the longevity of an individual's immune response to the SARS-Cov-2 virus is vital for future planning, particularly of vaccine requirements. Neutralizing antibodies (Nabs) are increasingly being recognized as a correlate of protection and while there are many studies that follow the response of a cohort of people, each study alone is not enough to predict the long-term response. Studies use different assays to measure Nabs, making them hard to combine. We present a modelling method that can combine multiple datasets and can be updated as more detailed data becomes available. Combining data from seven published datasets we predict that the NAb decay has two phases, an initial fast but short-lived decay period followed by a longer term and slower decay period.

Increased Breadth of Group A Streptococcus Antibody Responses in Children With Acute Rheumatic Fever Compared to Precursor Pharyngitis and Skin Infections.

BACKGROUND: Group A Streptococcus (GAS) causes superficial pharyngitis and skin infections as well as serious autoimmune sequelae such as acute rheumatic fever (ARF) and subsequent rheumatic heart disease. ARF pathogenesis remains poorly understood. Immune priming by repeated GAS infections is thought to trigger ARF, and there is growing evidence for the role of skin infections in this process. METHODS: We utilized our recently developed 8-plex immunoassay, comprising antigens used in clinical serology for diagnosis of ARF (SLO, DNase B, SpnA), and 5 conserved putative GAS vaccine antigens (Spy0843, SCPA, SpyCEP, SpyAD, Group A carbohydrate), to characterize antibody responses in sera from New Zealand children with a range of clinically diagnosed GAS disease: ARF (n = 79), GAS-positive pharyngitis (n = 94), GAS-positive skin infection (n = 51), and matched healthy controls (n = 90). RESULTS: The magnitude and breadth of antibodies in ARF was very high, giving rise to a distinct serological profile. An average of 6.5 antigen-specific reactivities per individual was observed in ARF, compared to 4.2 in skin infections and 3.3 in pharyngitis. CONCLUSIONS: ARF patients have a unique serological profile, which may be the result of repeated precursor pharyngitis and skin infections that progressively boost antibody breadth and magnitude.

Combining antibody markers for serosurveillance of SARS-CoV-2 to estimate seroprevalence and time-since-infection.

Serosurveillance is an important epidemiologic tool for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), used to estimate infection rates and the degree of population immunity. There is no general agreement on which antibody biomarker(s) should be used, especially with the rollout of vaccines globally. Here, we used random forest models to demonstrate that a single spike or receptor-binding domain (RBD) antibody was adequate for classifying prior infection, while a combination of two antibody biomarkers performed better than any single marker for estimating time-since-infection. Nucleocapsid antibodies performed worse than spike or RBD antibodies for classification, but can be useful for estimating time-since-infection, and in distinguishing infection-induced from vaccine-induced responses. Our analysis has the potential to inform the design of serosurveys for SARS-CoV-2, including decisions regarding a number of antibody biomarkers measured.

Comparison of group A streptococcal titres in healthy children and those with pharyngitis and skin infections.

OBJECTIVES: Rates of acute rheumatic fever, a sequelae of group A Streptococcal (GAS) infection, remain unacceptably high in Indigenous Maori and Pacific children in New Zealand. This prospective study aimed to describe GAS antibody titres in healthy children (5-14 years) by ethnicity, and to determine how paired titres vary with GAS culture positive and negative pharyngitis, and GAS skin infections. METHODS: Analysis included 887 children (32% Maori, 36% Pacific, 33% European/Other) from Auckland, New Zealand. Cases comprise 772 children who had a sore throat or skin infection, which resulted in a swab taken for culture. Healthy controls were asymptomatic (N = 154) and matched by age, ethnicity and region. All participants had a serum sample, with a second sample collected from cases only. Sera were analysed for anti-streptolysin O (ASO) and anti-DNase-B (ADB) antibodies. RESULTS: Healthy Maori and Pacific children had higher GAS antibody titres than healthy European/Other children. Children with GAS-positive sore throat had the highest mean ASO titres and children with GAS-positive skin infection had the highest mean ADB titres. When a two-fold increase or an upper limit of normal cut-off (ASO 450 IU/ml, ADB 400 U/ml) was applied to titres from children with GAS-positive sore throat, 62.1% were classified as having serologically confirmed GAS pharyngitis and 37.9% had GAS detected without serological response. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated ASO titres were associated with GAS pharyngitis and elevated ADB titres were associated with GAS skin infections in New Zealand children. Higher ASO/ADB titres in healthy Maori and Pacific children could indicate a greater prior exposure to GAS infections.

An eight-plex immunoassay for Group A streptococcus serology and vaccine development.

Group A Streptococcus (GAS) is a major human pathogen responsible for superficial infections through to life-threatening invasive disease and the autoimmune sequelae acute rheumatic fever (ARF). Despite a significant global economic and health burden, there is no licensed vaccine available to prevent GAS disease. Several pre-clinical vaccines that target conserved GAS antigens are in development. Assays that measure antigen-specific antibodies are essential for vaccine research. The aim of this study was to develop a multiplex beadbased immunoassay that can detect and quantify antibody responses to multiple GAS antigen targets in small volume blood samples. This builds on our existing triplex assay comprised of antigens used in clinical serology for the diagnosis of ARF (SLO, DNase B and SpnA). Five additional conserved putative GAS vaccine antigens (Spy0843, SCPA, SpyCEP, SpyAD and the Group A carbohydrate), were coupled to spectrally unique beads to form an 8-plex antigen panel. After optimisation of the assay protocol, standard curves were generated, and assessments of assay specificity, precision and reproducibility were conducted. A broad range of antibody (IgG) titres were able to be quickly and accurately quantified from a single serum dilution. Assay utility was assessed using a panel of 62 clinical samples including serum from adults with GAS bacteraemia and children with ARF. Circulating IgG to all eight antigens was elevated in patients with GAS disease (n = 23) compared to age-matched controls (n = 39) (P < 0.05). The feasibility of using dried blood samples to quantify antigen-specific IgG was also demonstrated. In summary, a robust and reproducible 8-plex assay has been developed that simultaneously quantifies IgG antibodies to GAS vaccine and diagnostic antigens.

Preceding group A streptococcus skin and throat infections are individually associated with acute rheumatic fever: evidence from New Zealand.

INTRODUCTION: Acute rheumatic fever (ARF) is usually considered a consequence of group A streptococcus (GAS) pharyngitis, with GAS skin infections not considered a major trigger. The aim was to quantify the risk of ARF following a GAS-positive skin or throat swab. METHODS: This retrospective analysis used pre-existing administrative data. Throat and skin swab data (1 866 981 swabs) from the Auckland region, New Zealand and antibiotic dispensing data were used (2010-2017). Incident ARF cases were identified using hospitalisation data (2010-2018). The risk ratio (RR) of ARF following swab collection was estimated across selected features and timeframes. Antibiotic dispensing data were linked to investigate whether this altered ARF risk following GAS detection. RESULTS: ARF risk increased following GAS detection in a throat or skin swab. Maori and Pacific Peoples had the highest ARF risk 8-90 days following a GAS-positive throat or skin swab, compared with a GAS-negative swab. During this period, the RR for Maori and Pacific Peoples following a GAS-positive throat swab was 4.8 (95% CI 3.6 to 6.4) and following a GAS-positive skin swab, the RR was 5.1 (95% CI 1.8 to 15.0). Antibiotic dispensing was not associated with a reduction in ARF risk following GAS detection in a throat swab (antibiotics not dispensed (RR: 4.1, 95% CI 2.7 to 6.2), antibiotics dispensed (RR: 4.3, 95% CI 2.5 to 7.4) or in a skin swab (antibiotics not dispensed (RR: 3.5, 95% CI 0.9 to 13.9), antibiotics dispensed (RR: 2.0, 95% CI 0.3 to 12.1). CONCLUSIONS: A GAS-positive throat or skin swab is strongly associated with subsequent ARF, particularly for Maori and Pacific Peoples. This study provides the first population-level evidence that GAS skin infection can trigger ARF.